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The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p.133).

532 Ibidem.

533 McRae H. The World in 2020. Power, Culture and Prosperity. 1994, p. 276.


534 Rice C. Promoting the National Interest («Foreign Affairs», Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 56).

535 Ibid., p. 161.

536 Binnendijk H. Back to Bipolarity? («The Washington Quarterly», Autumn 1999, p. 13).

537 «The Economist», June 27, 1998, p. 25.

538 Aldred K. and Smith M. Superpowers in the Post-Cold War Era. London: Macmillan Press, 1999, p. 94).

539 McRae H. The World in 2020. Power, Culture and Prosperity. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 1994, p. 253.

540 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 84).

541 Aldred K. and Smith M. Superpowers in the Post-Cold War Era. London: Macmillan Press, 1999, p. 91-92).

542 Pillsbury M. (ed). Chinese View of Future Warfare. Washington: National Defense University Press, 1997.

543 Lilly J., Ford C. China’s Military: A Second Opinion («The National Interest», Fall 1999, p. 71).

544 Schwenninger S. American Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War World («World Policy Journal», Summer 1999, p. 60).

545 Lilly J., Ford C. China’s Military: A Second Opinion («The National Interest», Fall 1999, p. 72).

546 Seib G. Another Threat Looms: China As New Demon («Wall Street Journal», May 26, 1999.

547 Ibid., p. 57.

548 Rose G. Present Laughter or Utopian Bliss? («The National Interest», Winter 1999/2000, p. 45).

549 Pfaff W. The Coming Clash of Europe with America («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 1).

550 Gill B., O’Hanlon. China’s Hollow Military («The National Interest», Summer 1999).

551 Gill B., O’Hanlon. China’s Hollow Military («The National Interest», Summer 1999).

552 Schwenninger S. American Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War World («World Policy Journal», Summer 1999, p. 63).

553 Zi Zhongyun. U.S. - China Relations. Breaking a Vicious Circle (“World Policy Journal”, Fall, 1999, p. 119).

554 Zi Zhongyun. U.S. - China Relations. Breaking a Vicious Circle (“World Policy Journal”, Fall, 1999, p. 120).

555 Rice C. Promoting the National Interest («Foreign Affairs», Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 55).

556 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 85).

557 Schwenninger S. American Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War World («World Policy Journal», Summer 1999, p. 63).

558 Brzezinski Zb. A Geostrategy for Eurasia (“Foreign Affairs”, September/October 1999, p. 58-59).

559 OECD Economic Outlook, June 1999, p. 41.

560 Taylor P. Embedded Statism and the Social Sciences: Opening Up to New Spaces (“Environment and Planning”, 1996, N 28, p. 1925).

561 Santis De H. Mutualism. An American Strategy for the Next Century («World Policy Journal», Winter 1998/99, p. 49).

562 “International Studies Review”, Summer 1999, p. 91.

563 Ibid., p. 95.

564 Waltz K. Evaluating Theories («American Political Science Review», December 1997, p. 915-916).

565 Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p.138).

566 Thurow L. Head to Head: The Coming Economic Battle Among Japan, Europe, and America. N.Y., 1992.

567 Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p.111).

568 Zakaria Fareed. The Challenges of American Hegemony (“International Journal”, Winter 1998-9, p. 15).

569 «Economist», July 31, 1999 (Road to 2050).

570 Huntington S. The Lonely Superpower (“Foreign Affairs”, March-April 1999.

571 Waltz K. The Emerging Structure of International Politics («International Security», 1993, N 18, p.50)

572 Zoellik R. A Republican Foreign Policy («Foreign Affairs», Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 66).

573 «The National Interest», Spring 1999, p. 22.

574 «London Review of Books», December 10, 1998.

575 Benamou G.-M. Le Dernier Mitterand. Paris, 1998, p. 314.

576 Heisbourg F. Europe’s Strategic Ambitions: The Limits of Ambiguity (“Survival”, Summer 2000, p.11-12).

577 Trevor-Roper H. Prime Minister Without a Past («The Spectator», December 19/26 1998.

578 “Survival”, Summer 2000, p. 13.

579 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 78).

580 Bell C. American Ascendancy. And the Pretense of Concert (« The National Interest», Fall 1999, p. 58.

581 Rapkin D. Japan and World Leadership (In: Rapkin D. -ed. World Leadership and Hegemony. Boulder: Lynne Rienner, 1990, p. 199).

582 Mochizuki M. and O’Hanlon M. A Liberal Vision for the US-Japanese Alliance («Survival», 1998, N 2, p. 129-130).

583 McRae H. Op. cit., p. 75.

584 «The Economist», January 1997, p. 67.

585 Cuthbertson I. Chasing the Chimera. Securing the Peace (“World Policy Journal”, Summer 1999, p. 79).

586 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 80).

587 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 80).

588 «The Economist», February 8, 1998, p. 74.

589 Туроу Л. Будущее капитализма. Новосибирск, 1999, с. 187.

590 Fredman L. Foreigners Lament: We are Going Nowhere (“Nikkei Weekly”, April 4, 1994, p. 16).

591 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 81).

592 Bracken P. The Second Industrial Age («Foreign Affairs», Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 149).

593 Ibidem.

594 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 86).

595 Blank S. Russia as Rogue Proliferator («Orbis», Winter 2000, p. 99).

596 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 83).

597 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 82).

598 Menon R., Wimbush E. Asia in the 21st Century. Power Politics Alive and Well («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 78).

599 Rieff D. A Second American Century? The Paradoxes of Power (“World Policy Journal”, Winter 1999/2000, p. 7).

600 Calleo D. The United States and the Great Powers (“World Policy Journal”, Fall 1999, p. 11).

601 Kupchan Ch. Life after Pax Americana (“World Policy Journal”, Fall 1999, p. 25).

602 Bell C. American Ascendancy. And the Pretense of Concert («The National Interest», Fall 1999, p. 57).

603 Zoellik R. A Republican Foreign Policy (“Foreign Affairs”, Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 67).

604 Calleo D. The United States and the Great Powers (“World Policy Journal”, Fall 1999, p. 14-15).

605 Zakaria Fareed. The Challenges of American Hegemony (“International Journal”, Winter 1998-9, p. 15-16).

606 Rice C. Promoting the National Interest (“Foreign Affairs”, Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 59).

607 «Foreign Affairs», March/April 2000, p. 86.

608 “Economist”, July 31, 1999 (The Road to 2050).


609 Kupchan Ch. Rethinking Europe («National Interest», Summer 1999, p. 73).

610 Kupchan Ch. Life after Pax Americana (“World Policy Journal”, Fall 1999, p. 25).

611 Calleo D. The United States and the Great Powers (“World Policy Journal”, Fall 1999, p. 14).

612 Kupchan Ch. Rethinking Europe («National Interest», Summer 1999, p. 74).

613 Goodby J. Europe Undivided. Washington, U.S. Institute of Peace, 1998.

614 McRae H. The World in 2020. Power, Culture and Prosperity. 1994, p. 243.

615 Bell C. American Ascendancy. And the Pretense of Concert («The National Interest», Fall 1999, p.60

616 Rice C. Promoting the National Interest (“Foreign Affairs”, Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 58).

617 Kagan R. and Kristol W. The Present Danger («The National Interest», Spring 2000, p. 67).

618 “Economist”, July 31, 1999 (The Road to 2050).


619 Jervis R. The Future of World Politics (In: Lynn-Jones S. and Miller S. (eds) America’s Strategy in a Changing World. Cambridge, 1993, p. 26)

620 Rielly J. (ed). American Public Opinion and U.S. Foreign Policy, 1995, Chicago: Council on Foreign Relations, 1995, p. 21.

621 McRae H. The World in 2020. Power, Culture and Prosperity. 1994, p. 229.

622 Schwenninger S. American Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War World (“World Policy Journal”, Summer 1999, p. 58).

623 Schwenninger S. American Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War World (“World Policy Journal”, Summer 1999, p. 58).

624 “World Policy Journal”, Summer 1999, p. 58.

625 Ibid., p. 59.

626 Ibidem.

627 Lieven A. The (Not So) Great Game («The National Interest», Winter 1999/2000, p. 69, 74).

628 Lieven A. The (Not So) Great Game («The National Interest», Winter 1999/2000, p. 79).

629 Blank S. Russia as a Rogue Proliferator («Orbis», Winter 2000, p. 105).

630 Blank S. Russia as a Rogue Proliferator («Orbis», Winter 2000, p. 105).

631 Huntington S. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. N.Y.,1996, p. 76.


632 Braudel F. On History. Chicago, 1980, p. 226.

633 Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p.134, note).

634 Franck Th. Tribe, Nation, World: Self-Identification in the Evolving International System (“Ethics and International Affairs”, 1997, N 11, p. 151.

635 America’s Place in the World II. Washington: Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, October 1997, p. 17-18, 22.

636 Kennedy P. Preparing for the Twenty-First Century. N.Y., 1993, p. 293.

637 Haass R. What to Do With American Primacy (“Foreign Affairs”, September/October 1999, p. 37).

638 Modelski G., Tompson W. The Long and Short of Global Politics in the Twenty-first Century: An Evolutionary Approach («International Studies Review». Summer 1999, p.111).


639 Arrighi G. The Long Twentieth Century: Money, Power, and the Origins of Our Times. L., 1994.

640 Wallerstein I. The Capitalist World-Economy: Middle-Run Prospects (In: Wallerstein I., ed. Geopolitics and Geoculture: on the Modern World-System. Cambridge, 1989, p. 123-136).

641 Goldstein J. Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age. New Haven, 1988.

642 Huntington S. The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. N.Y.,1996.

643 Waltz K. The Emerging Structure of International Politics («International Security», 1993, N18, p. 44-79).

644 Rice C. Promoting the National Interest («Foreign Affairs», Jan/Feb. 2000, p. 55).

645 McRae H. The World in 2020. Power, Culture and Prosperity. 1994, p. 270.

646 Denemark R. World System History: From Traditional International Politics to the Study of Global Relations («International Studies Review», Summer 1999, p. 59).

647 Landes D. The Wealth and Poverty of Nations: Why Some Are So Rich and Some So Poor. N.Y., 1998.

648 McNeill W. How the West Won. («New York Review of Books», April 1998, p. 35-37).

649 Denemark R. World System History: From Traditional International Politics to the Study of Global Relations («International Studies Review», Summer 1999, p. 58).
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